Co-mentor: Eli Lifland
Bio
Thomas founded the Center for AI Policy and did AI safety research at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute.
Research I Want to Mentor
Area: AI Forecasting, Governance and Strategy
Project Ideas:
We are working on a detailed mainline scenario forecast that we will publish around the end of March. This is a time of particularly high uncertainty for us as we haven't decided on a direction for after the project. Potential projects include but aren't limited to:
- Policy strategy research e.g. playbook for the intelligence explosion: Creating a playbook of policy options for soon after AGI is developed.
- Scenario forecasting: Writing scenarios that branch off of our mainline scenario, exploring what might happen if important variables are changed. This could include detailed concrete threat modeling or detailed theories of victory.
- Improve and run tabletop exercises (TTXs): We've created a TTX that many have found valuable, for which we'd like to expand the range of audiences that enjoy it and scale it to more people.
- Targeted policy research: Do research to inform policymakers based on what seems important and in-demand.